![]() ![]() Donald Trump’s victory falls on the lower end of this spectrum, ranking 26th out of 31. Bush’s squeaker in 2000, with 271 votes (51.2 percent). Roosevelt’s massive victory in 1936, where he earned all but eight of the Electoral College votes that went to Alf Landon (Maine, 5 Vermont, 3), to George W. The scores of the presidential winners over the period have varied greatly, ranging from Franklin D. Compared to the 30 preceding presidential contests since 1896 – the year most scholars mark as the beginning of modern presidential politics – it is clear that Trump’s self-proclaimed electoral-vote “landslide” is a huge exaggeration ( Table 1). The Presidential Raceĭonald Trump was elected President of the United States in the 2016 election by earning 56.9 percent of the Electoral College vote. Among the lessons suggested by election returns we highlight three important patterns: first, Trump’ win has much in common with the victories of other “repudiating” presidents following two-terms of one party rule second, a trend of growing concentration of partisan support by place – not just state, but county – stands out as one of the more interesting, and challenging, developments of the past two decades and finally, despite Trump’s unusual distance from the party he captured, his connection to races for Congress was unexceptional. The purpose of this article is to put the 2016 election into a broader historical perspective by comparing it to other modern presidential elections. Yet, there is always the risk of falling into the trap of hype and rhetorical inflation by ascribing too much specificity to any one event. And no matter the victor, the result was going to shape the legacy of Barack Obama.Įach national election is, of course, unique – that is one of the things that makes them so interesting. One of the two major political parties was going to be on the precipice of an internal civil war. ![]() Words like “realignment,” “unprecedented,” “era” would make you forget that the country that existed on November 7th was the same one that existed on November 9th. Inevitably there would have been talk about the incoming president’s new mandate. Regardless of who won the 2016 presidential election, parts of the script read the morning after were likely to sound the same. ![]()
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